Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Nick Hardt Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When evaluating second serve performance over the last six months, Aguilar demonstrates a slightly higher efficiency, winning 39.56% of points compared to Hardt's 35%. This particular statistic often correlates strongly with match prediction accuracy and can serve as an indicator of potential outcomes.

In terms of return game performance, Aguilar has shown superiority on their opponent's second serves, winning 51.7% of points compared to Hardt's 46.36%. When breaking down first serve return statistics, however, Aguilar trails slightly behind, with 30.5% as opposed to Hardt's 32.21%. Such figures provide crucial insights when selecting a favorite in their head-to-head encounters.

Under pressure, Aguilar exhibits greater resilience by saving 51.3% of breakpoints, whereas Hardt has managed to save only 38.46%. This is a crucial metric for in-game betting strategies and predictions. Regarding overall yearly performance, Aguilar has secured 61.33% of matches played (W/L 46/29), while Hardt has managed a winning percentage of 52.5% (W/L 21/19), providing an overarching view of their head-to-head dynamics.

Focusing on surface performance, both players favor clay courts. Aguilar has a career win percentage of 58% on clay (W/L 98/70), while Hardt has a slightly higher win rate of 61% (W/L 150/94). Conversely, Aguilar struggles on indoor hard courts with a 17% win rate (W/L 1/5), whereas Hardt finds grass challenging, prevailing only 33% of the time (W/L 1/2).

Analyzing their competitive levels, Aguilar has participated predominantly in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K over the past year, winning 48.78% of the time (W/L 20/21). Hardt, in contrast, has captured a win rate of 59.26% (W/L 16/11) in similar tournaments. Naturally, event level relative to the players is crucial when predicting favorites.

In direct matchups, Aguilar and Hardt have faced off twice, each garnering one victory. The aggregate set count shows Aguilar winning two and Hardt three. Notably, in their latest encounter at the M 25 Antalya final, Aguilar triumphed with a 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 scoreline on clay. On average, matches between these two competitors last approximately 1:53:30. Interestingly, when a match extends to a deciding set, Aguilar has emerged victorious in their single deciding set match.

Aguilar has historically fared better, winning 52% of deciding sets over the past year, compared to Hardt's 47% win rate in such scenarios. Notably, neither player has dominated tiebreaks in their direct contests, with zero tiebreak wins for either player.

Assessing opponent quality encountered over the last year, Aguilar's opponents have an average rank of 394.43, while Hardt's have a notably higher ranking average of 259.82. Therefore, these stats should be appended to live match analysis for robust decision-making and betting strategies.

In recent form, Hardt's break-point conversion rate of 43.75% surpasses Aguilar's 37.04%. Such data can guide in-live betting when break-point opportunities present themselves.

Taking all these factors into account, Aguilar appears to have a slight edge statistically in this upcoming match, mainly due to their resilience under pressure and recent triumph in the direct matchup on clay. Nonetheless, Hardt's better overall break-point conversion and tougher opposition might suggest a competitive showdown. Therefore, Aguilar is predicted to win, albeit in a potentially tight contest.